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ODM to Merge with UDA before the Next Election
Yes chance
49%
Volume
KES 200.3
Ends
Jun 30, 2027
Probability over time
7D
1M
All
Market
Chance
Trade
ODM to Merge with UDA before the Next Election
49.92%
Yes
49.92%
No
50.08%
Rules & Resolution
YES if: ODM and UDA formally merge into one party, or one dissolves into the other, and the Registrar of Political Parties records it before 30 Jun 2027. A coalition or pre-election pact where both parties still exist does not count.
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KES 1.1K Vol
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🏛️
Will any Cabinet Secretary resign to run in the 2027 election before 31 Dec 2026?
KES 0.9K Vol
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yes
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Will Rigathi Gachagua Be The United Opposition's Deputy Presidential Candidate?
KES 600 Vol
16%
yes
🏛️
The United Opposition To Name The Official Presidential And Deputy Presidential Candidate Before 31st Dec 2026?
KES 1K Vol
30%
yes
🏛️
Deputy President Kindiki To Be Fired Before The End of 2026?
KES 1.1K Vol
53%
yes
🏛️
Will Sakaja Remain As Governor Till The 2027 General Elections?
KES 655.2 Vol
50%
yes
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